However, before we start counting our “Trout and Acuna in the same outfield” eggs before they’re hatched, it’s poignant to note that the Angels, the team where Trout has spent his entire career, has just $53 million obliged to players for 2021. Certainly, the Braves could make a big pitch for Trout. If you add in a $25 milion Harper, the team is already over $100 million on just 8 players.Ĭontrast that with the Atlanta Braves who have just 2 players under contract for 2021 for a total of $30.7 million, along with an exciting young roster to use in negotiations. Before signing Harper, the Phillies had $63.7 million committed to 2021 with options to David Robertson and Jake Arrieta that would total $34 million. Braves News: Braves re-sign Stephens, Will Atlanta extend Max Fried?, moreįront-loading Harper’s deal is supposed to allow the Phillies to compete heavily for Mike Trout when he becomes a free agent after the 2020 season.Braves News: Braves sign Sean Murphy to six year, $73 million deal.Atlanta Braves: Six Braves prospects that could debut in 2023.Braves News: Atlanta extends Sean Murphy, pitcher reunions, more.Atlanta Braves 2012 Top Prospects Review: Zeke Spruill.The division is still absolutely up for grabs. While the Atlanta Braves may be ranked last in the NL East foursome in average wins between the two projections, the difference from top to bottom is less than 5 wins. Overall, the race is still incredibly close on paper, even with this big name going to Philadelphia. That puts the spread from the Nationals at 88 wins to the Braves (in fourth) at 85 wins. Via PECOTA, things are tighter, with the Nationals and Mets losing a win, but not the Braves somehow (not sure how that works, but I just plugged in the numbers and that’s what came out!). The spread of those four teams is from the Nationals at 89 wins to the Mets and Braves, now tied for 3rd at 84 wins. Interestingly, the Nationals are the only one of the “top 4” in the NL East that loses a win overall when doing the projections in Fangraphs in my rough working. Based on knowing what goes into each projection, I’ve done some rough projections and figured that the Fangraphs projections will adjust the standings such that in Fangraphs, the Phillies gain 2 wins. Philly is not that much betterĪccording to Fangraphs projections and Baseball Prospectus PECOTA projections, the Braves were projected 1 game better than the Phillies. Reports from those who have knowledge of the contract details lead one to believe that the Phillies orchestrated this deal in a way in order to be able to pursue Mike Trout heavily in two seasons. However, this deal is going to be fairly front-loaded (exact terms have not been released as the league has not approved them). There is a full no-trade clause, not some setup with a list of X-amount of teams that can be changed every year. There will be no opt-out during the deal. In terms, this was probably as easy to understand as any big contract in recent history. He would have been making between $30 million and $33 million per season if he would have taken the reported Braves offer, and he would have been back into free agency before he was even 30. The Atlanta Braves reportedly exceeded that AAV with an early 3-year offer that was just under $100 million. For reference, that ranks him 11th in the major leagues in AAV for the life of his contract, meaning he’s not even broken the level of a top-10 paid player in the game. Okay, he got the biggest total package of money, per his agent, but it was over 13 seasons, so the AAV for his deal comes out to $25.4 million per season throughout the life of the deal. In fact, there are some interesting things to consider with Bryce’s deal: He left money on the table Okay, that last one was typically a troll message from those who were going after the “Chicken Little” fans on Twitter and Facebook immediately after the announcement.Ĭertainly, the presence of Harper in the Atlanta Braves lineup would have been nice, but when looking at that deal, there’s a reason the team did not continue negotiations. Why didn’t the Braves sign him at that average annual value (AAV)?Ĭan the Braves even compete with the Phillies now? The announcement of Bryce Harper‘s 13-year, $330 million contract with the Phillies sent Atlanta Braves fans into all sorts of directions on social media. What does it mean for the Braves in 2019 and beyond? The Atlanta Braves division rival just signed one of the biggest free agents on the 2018/2019 market.
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